퀵폰을 사용하기 위해서는 닷넷이 먼저 설치되어 있어야 합니다.
사용방법은 iTunes을 사용해서 먼저 2.2.1 정펌으로 업그레이드를 하시고, 퀵폰을 실행해서 해킹하시면 됩니다. 자세한 사용법은 2.1 버젼과 크게 다르지 않을테니, 2.1 버젼의 퀵폰 사용 글을 참조하세요.
솔직하게 말씀드려서, 저는 퀵폰 2.2.1이 나왔지만 지금 당장 업그레이드를 하지 않을 것입니다.
경험상 새로운 버젼은 항상 초반에 예기치 못한 문제가 발생해 왔습니다.
조금 더 상황을 지켜본 뒤, 실행에 옮겨도 늦지 않습니다.
주의사항 : 3G 아이폰 사용자는 절대 사용 금지입니다. 아이폰의 경우 2.2.1로 업데이트 하는 순간, Baseband가 영구적으로 변형되어 Unlock이 불가능해진답니다. 아이폰은 2.2.1 펌웨어에 과거버젼의 Baseband로 구성된 커스텀 펌웨어로 설치해야하며, 아직 커스텀 펌웨어는 안나온듯 합니다.
아이팟터치 2세대 사용자도 사용하실 수 없습니다.
이번 발표는 아이팟터치 1세대 사용자만 사용할 수 있습니다.
Quickpawn 2.2.1 : http://www.quickpwn.com/2009/01/official-quickpwn-221-and-pwnagetool-jailbreak-for-windowsmac.html
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Questions, Comments or Concerns
The More Things Change, the More They Stay the Same
On the flipside of that consistency, the two teams that earned successive "top two" NFL Draft picks were the (1999-2000) and the (2009-2010). The four franchises that have picked in the "top twelve" of the draft for more than two consecutive seasons, including this past one, are: the (7), (5), (3) and the aforementioned Rams (3). Finally, the most prolific back-to-back division losers we the Browns (4), the (3) and five others - including the Raiders (2) and Chiefs (2) - who did it twice; just five other franchises have accomplished that ignominious feat even once and 20 others haven't ever done so.
So, in addition to there being relatively few instances of sustained success or failure - even in the shortest of terms - they've been hoarded by even fewer unique franchises. Benjamin Franklin once wrote: "in this world nothing can be said to be certain, except death and taxes"; I'll leave it up to you good people to determine which of the aforementioned franchises are the NFL's version of "death" and which others are "taxes"!
Playing against the 2010 early on, when they'll be without star quarterback , will be very different to matching up with them later in the year. Playing at New York (in New Jersey) this season - against either the or the - has the added dimension of the opening of their new stadium at the Meadowlands. Being "hosted" by the in London in Week 8, instead of San Francisco, should make a difference. Playing against teams relying on new signal callers (like the Raiders twice, the and the Rams for our Broncos) is a much bigger deal early on than it is later. These are just a few examples of how different considerations can change the outlook of any game.
In the last twelve drafts, only two teams managed to secure back-to-back "top two" picks. While 9 of the first 12 picks in the 2010 NFL Draft were awarded to teams that had earned "top twelve" slots in 2009 as well, only four franchises have such active streaks of at least three years. Including the 2003 season, only 22 of the 64 last place finishers in their respective divisions were reprising such dismal failures from the previous year. It is apparent that the results of one year, at least at the extremes, are not to be relied upon when attempting to forecast the following season.
This process will always remain more art than science, but good research can help bridge that gap. Most observers usually rely on their gut for this sort of endeavor and the results of their work can therefore be quite biased or shallow. With so much information at our fingertips today, however, we can now dig deeper and thus arrive at more meaningful conclusions. Follow me below the fold as I attempt to navigate the pratfalls that typically plague these analyses and establish a foundation for its application to the 2010 .
The opposites in futility of those markers of success lie at the top of recent NFL Draft orders. Different cross sections of the top picks can be used as the negative equivalents of the Super Bowl contestants (2) and playoff teams (12). In addition, the bottom of the divisional barrels can be picked out on their own for repeat offenders. With those parameters established, let's determine how consistent the league's worst have been from year to year.
When attempting to divine the future of a team based on its schedule, there are more variables than we can possibly even attempt to fathom. That said, the more thought and research we put into the process, the stronger our conclusions will be. This sort of analysis may well always be more art than science, but the best art always has plenty of science behind it, http://www.broncosjerseyfanshop.com/dj-williams-jersey-c-108.html D.J. Williams Jersey. Following our conversation in the comments below, I'll finally take a stab at projecting the results of the 2010 season for our beloved Denver Broncos. Will I be vindicated as the Oracle at MHR or will I be doomed to wander in John Clayton's "mazes of lost"?
There's a line in George Orwell's classic Animal Farm that I've loved ever since I first read it: "All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others." To apply this concept to football - and, more specifically, to schedule-watching - it's important to note that changing any aspect of a game can transform that match-up into a very different "animal". Where and when a game is played can be just as important as against whom it is contested. There are plenty of prime examples of this that range from the obvious to the obscure, but they're all equally important. Some of those variables are specific to this season, but others are unearthed by looking at developed trends such as those already discussed above.
As always, I'm relying on you to ensure that I am going down the right path; one of the many benefits of writing for Mile High Report is that I can go down a rabbit hole like this and trust that the readership will make sure that I come out on the other side relatively unscathed. And so, without further ado, let us determine if and how we should "look at the schedule".
Ready? OK. The repeat Super Bowl contenders were the (2004-2005), incidentally winning them both. The active consecutive playoff berth streaks of more than two belong to the (8) and the (4). Those three franchises - the Patriots (5), Colts (5) and Chargers (3) - are joined by the (4) to form the aforementioned quartet of division bullies that racked up nearly two-thirds of the back-to-back division championships.
Starting with the second of our beloved Broncos back to back NFL Championships (1998), only one team has managed to appear in consecutive Super Bowls; in other words, out of the 24 finalists during that span, only one returned to that precipice the following year. Just six out of the twelve postseason competitors last year were returning participants from the previous season and only two franchises currently have consecutive playoff berth streaks longer than two. In the last eight seasons, only 22 of the 64 division titles have been successful defenses and a mere four teams account for 14 of those.
Renown sportswriter and television personality Woody Paige is famous for reiterating some variant of the phrase "look at the schedule" whenever he is asked to prognosticate. Though that approach has its critics, it is clear that his maxim is catching on. The release of the NFL schedule, for instance, has become something of an event in recent years. There is a certain appeal to parsing through a team's impending slate of games in an attempt to determine their potential for the upcoming season. Regardless of how accurately we might gauge its true talent, identify their strengths and weaknesses, and adjucate the schemes that they run: all that information is ultimately meaningless without context. And so, in the absence of actual games, we must turn our attention to the schedule in order to hopefully ascertain what it all truly means.
There's a famous saying that I'm sure you've all come across and it goes something along the lines of: "past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results". The thing about clichés like that one is that they often become trite only because they are both true and useful. In the case of projecting the performance of a professional football team in an upcoming campaign, for example, that notion can be a rather useful one. The following are a handful of examples of just how volatile the results of an NFL season can appear if looked at through the prism of the previous year alone. Bear in mind that most of these figures were compiled by me by hand and that they may therefore be liable to human error.
The Only Constant is Change
Other long term trends to consider are things like time zones traveled, the strength of specific home field advantages, schematic and/or personnel turnover, etc. There are plenty of instances of each of those affecting the 2010 Broncos and I'll take a closer look at them in the future. Of course, everything is fair game in the comments, so feel free to bring any of this up as well.
With the so-called "dead period" coming to a close now that Training Camp is finally creeping up on the horizon, I do not fear looking even further ahead at the Regular Season and the return of the great game we all love. Before that, however, I had to make sure that I was grounded in my approach so that you can trust my analysis when I breakdown the upcoming schedule. I'm sure that there are aspects that I may have overlooked, so feel free to fill in my blanks. Regardless, I look forward to hashing it out with you all below. As always: cheers, and go Broncos!
You may have noticed that I refrained from immediately identifying those few franchises that bucked the apparent short-term unpredictability of the NFL with their remarkable consistency. If you wish to test your knowledge of league trivia and attempt to identify those teams in question on your own, take a short break now and give it a try. As you may have already imagined, there's quite a bit of overlap in the separate categories that I established. In fact, there are only four unique names comprising the seven notable achievements I singled out. As for the dishonorable mentions: those include at least nine different franchises, of which I'll name six. Whenever you're ready, feel free to move on to the next paragraph for the answers.
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Having lost to the Texans and Patriots, the Broncos probably aren’t going to gain the No. 1 seed. But if the Texans defeat the Pats on Monday and the Broncos can sweep their remaining three games, Denver would grab the No. 2 seed. The big test will come next Sunday at Baltimore.
1. Houston Texans (11-1)
5. Seattle Seahawks (8-5)
What's left: vs. New York Giants, at Detroit, vs. Tampa Bay
The Redskins' near future is cloudy because of quarterback Robert Griffin III's knee injury, and the Vikings aren't getting enough offense beyond running back Adrian Peterson. That makes it easier to like the Cowboys as the team here with the best chance of jumping up, either in the wild-card or NFC East race.
What's left: at New England, at Seattle, vs. Arizona
Ben Roethlisberger's return didn't quite boost them as they expected in a hard loss to the San Diego Chargers. The Cowboys helped them by sneaking past the Bengals. Now it's the Steelers' turn to rebound and beat those two teams to hold on to the wild card.
To get in, the Bengals will probably have to win at Pittsburgh in Week 16. It's hard to believe the Jets, with all their problems, are only one game off the pace.
Desperate and dire: St. Louis Rams (6-6-1), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7).
5. Indianapolis Colts (9-4)
3. Green Bay Packers (9-4)
Although they caught a break with the Baltimore Ravens losing, the Texans can't afford to let up in their quest for both the AFC South title and the top playoff seed. That's because the Indianapolis Colts and Denver Broncos both won in Week 14. There's a lot riding on Monday night's game against the New England Patriots.
Desperate and dire: Cleveland Browns (5-8), San Diego Chargers (5-8), Buffalo Bills (5-8), Miami Dolphins (5-8).
What's left: vs. Denver, vs. New York Giants, at Cincinnati
The Falcons lost some breathing room by losing at Carolina. They might need to go 2-1 to hold on to the top seed, and next week they host one of their playoff nemeses, the Giants.
Alive: Cincinnati Bengals (7-6), New York Jets (6-7).
4. New York Giants (8-5)
What's left: at Houston, at Kansas City, vs. Houston
What's left: at Chicago, vs. Tennessee, at Minnesota
2. San Francisco 49ers (9-3-1)
What's left: at Dallas, vs. Cincinnati, vs. Cleveland
4. Baltimore Ravens (9-4)
6. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6)
What's left: at Atlanta, at Baltimore, vs. Philadelphia
1. Atlanta Falcons (11-2)
What's left: at New England, vs. Indianapolis, vs. Minnesota, at Indianapolis
The race for the NFL playoffs heated up during Week 14 action. While the Indianapolis Colts added to their wild-card cushion in the AFC, the Chicago Bears are no longer in such a cushy position in the NFC.
Over and out: New Orleans Saints (5-8), Detroit Lions (4-9), Arizona Cardinals (4-9), Carolina Panthers (4-9), Philadelphia Eagles (4-9).
The Colts got a huge win over the Tennessee Titans, and it came with the bonus of the Steelers and Bengals losing. That gives them a two-game lead for the top wild-card berth, so they can now set their sights on upending the Texans in two of the final three games and giving themselves a chance to steal the AFC South.
What's left: vs. Green Bay, at Arizona, at Detroit
Alive: Washington Redskins (7-6), Dallas Cowboys (7-6), Minnesota Vikings (7-6).
What's left: at Baltimore, vs. Cleveland, vs. Kansas City
Over and out: Tennessee Titans (4-9), Oakland Raiders (3-10), Jacksonville Jaguars (2-11), Kansas City Chiefs (2-11).
The Bears figure to have one easy win left—at Arizona—but they are not who we thought they were just a few weeks ago. Forget the division title—they have their hands full just trying to get in as a wild card now.
The Patriots have a chance to take home-field advantage in the AFC for the second consecutive year. The Ravens' loss on Sunday and the Patriots' earlier win over the Broncos were critical in the pursuit of the top seed. Now, New England must beat the Texans and then hope Houston loses again.
The Ravens can't put everything together of late, and it doesn't get any easier after consecutive losses to the Pittsburgh Steelers and Washington Redskins. Their remaining opponents—the Broncos, New York Giants and Cincinnati Bengals—all will give them plenty of fight as all three have much to play for.
Now that the Bears have lost two straight, the Packers are a full game ahead and already have a victory over them. That means if the Packers can win at Chicago in Week 15, they will take the NFC North.
The Seahawks are perfect at home and have only one road game remaining, against a struggling Bills team at Toronto, http://www.broncosjerseyfanshop.com/jim-leonhard-jersey-c-107.html Jim Leonhard Jersey. Because they defeated the Bears, they now own the top wild card over Chicago.
3. New England Patriots (9-3)
6. Chicago Bears (8-5)
What's left: vs. Houston, vs. San Francisco, at Jacksonville, vs. Miami
What's left: vs. Buffalo in Toronto, vs. San Francisco, vs. St. Louis
2. Denver Broncos (10-3)
We'll get a good idea of the 49ers' mind-set for the playoffs the next two weeks, as they get tested by the Patriots and Seattle Seahawks on the road. They will either have a first-round bye as NFC West champions or fall all the way to the No. 5 seed.
The Giants' roller-coaster ride continues with a pair of division leaders, the Falcons and the Ravens, on the road the next two weeks. To soar over those teams, Eli Manning needs to keep New York's offense ablaze.
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Williams' last start was in Denver's loss at New England in the playoffs 11 months ago.
Notes: Listed as probable are: RG Chris Kuper (ankle) WR Matt Willis (knee), G Manny Ramirez (back) and TE Virgil Green (hamstring), along with DE Robert Ayers, who missed last week while dealing with the death of his father. ... Peyton Manning's 3,502 yards passing are already the most in NFL history by a quarterback who didn't play the previous year, topping Stan Humphries' 3,356 yards with San Diego in 1992.
Coach John Fox wouldn't tip his hand on his intentions for replacing Woodyard in the lineup but acknowledged it was nice to have Williams, the team's leading tackler in four of the last five seasons, as the proverbial "next man up."
On Wednesday, Woodyard was walking around team headquarters without the noticeable limp he had after Sunday's game, but the Broncos are concerned about him aggravating the injury in a short week and they decided to keep him out of Thursday night's game with a key trip to Baltimore looming on Dec. 16, http://www.officialravenshop.com/ramon-harewood-jersey-c-130.html Ramon Harewood Jersey.
"I think D.J. will be ready to go, and he'll take advantage of the opportunity," Miller said.
Williams returned to Dove Valley after serving a six-game suspension for violating the league's drug policy and was able to attend meetings while serving his subsequent three-game penalty for a drunken driving conviction. He was activated last month and has recorded a half-dozen tackles and one pass breakup in three games.
The NFL expanded its Thursday night schedule this year, making a lack of physical recovery a bigger issue, especially with so many of them being divisional games, which are notoriously more scrappy.
"It will definitely affect the defense," star strongside linebacker Von Miller said. "He's been playing well for us, really all season. But D.J., he's ready to go."
"I feel good about all our linebacking crew: D.J., obviously getting him back, getting him more familiar as we move along in our new defensive system; Danny Trevathan's played in a lot of those roles. So, we feel confident in both of those guys," Fox said.
Woodyard won the starting weakside linebacker job in training camp with incumbent Williams facing what turned out to be two suspensions totaling nine games, and he's had a breakout year. He leads the Broncos with 97 tackles and is the only NFL player with at least three interceptions and three sacks this season.
The Broncos (9-3) take their seven-game winning streak to Oakland to face the reeling Raiders (3-9) Thursday night, and they'll be without Woodyard, who didn't make the trip.
"I think when he came back, he didn't seem really rusty to me," Miller said. "He still was in really good shape. He looked pretty good. He had been paying attention in meetings; he was on top of everything."
ENGLEWOOD, Colo. (AP) — D.J. Williams is preparing for his first start since Jan. 14 with Wesley Woodyard still hobbled by a sprained left ankle.
Slot receiver Brandon Stokley, who missed last weekend's 31-23 win over the Buccaneers with an injured hip, was listed as questionable after being limited in practice again Wednesday. Stokley said his hip started bothering him a week ago but he wasn't sure how it happened.
"This is a combative game, no doubt. And it's a tough game, whether it's played any day of the week," Fox said.
Follow Arnie Melendrez Stapleton on Twitter:
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DENVER (Reuters) - Nearly 30 Air Force Academy cadets required medical care, with six of them hospitalized, after an annual tradition to mark the first snowfall of the season turned into an out-of-control melee, school officials said on Wednesday.An unauthorized ritual last week called "First Shirt/First Snow," in which freshman cadets try to throw their cadet sergeant into a snowbank, grew violent and resulted in injuries, http://www.cheappoloshirtshop.com http://www.cheappoloshirtshop.com ralph lauren polo the academy said in a statement."A relatively small number of cadets chose to take part in this unsafe activity," Brigadier General Gregory Lengyel said. "This incident was unacceptable."The six cadets who required hospitalization after last Thursday's incident have all been http://www.cheappoloshirtshop.com http://www.cheappoloshirtshop.com polo shirts released, and the 21 others were treated for "bruises and/or lacerations" at the academy's cadet clinic, the school said.Lengyel, who serves as the commandant of cadets, said school officials are investigating the incident. "Our Air Force expects better. ? ? ? 3,001 ? ? , http://www.tshirtralphlaurenpolo.com ralph lauren polo shirts? (595 ) ? (1,529 ) ? ? (1,282 ) ? ? (247 ) Net Loss $ (5,056 ) , http://www.cheappoloshirtshop.com polo shirts? $ (5, http://www.cheappoloshirtshop.com cheap polo,547 ) ? $ 491 ? $ http://www.tshirtralphlaurenpolo.com polo ralph lauren (6, http://www.cheappoloshirtshop.com ralph lauren polo,575 ) ? $ (7,833 ) ? $ .ca/investors A rebroadcast of the conference call will be available until November 10, by dialling: Canada and US access number: 1 888-203-1112 International access number: + 1 647-436-0148 Confirmation code: 7187134 Customer statistics-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2012 2011 2010 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary service units(1) http://www.tshirtralphlaurenpolo.com http://www.cheappoloshirtshop.com cheap polo 1,969,133 .
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left the army to Mianyang City Jiuzhou stadium mass resettlement transfer victims places looking for family, but have gained nothing.He began to despair.But in this time, he suddenly saw a local television news footage showed a familiar figure -- a head wrapped in gauze boy is eating a packet of instant noodles, http://www.monclerpascherdoudounefr.com moncler pas cher.", http://www.moncledoudounesalefr.com moncler;Son!"The left army shout oneself hoarse slapping around a person's back to yell, "see, he is my son, my son is still alive."
mountain family Zuo Jun is 39 years old this year, ", http://www.isabelmarantfrboutique.com isabel marant sneakers;5.12" earthquake so that he lost his father, http://www.louboutinpascherenligne-fr.com louboutin pas cher, brother, brother, sister and sister-in-law.When the earthquake occurred, the left army is at work, then he had to live in Beichuan county and the family lost contact, http://www.wncden.com/blog/index.php/2010/05/04/ but firmly in the.
after a series of setbacks, the left army eventually at 208 local hospitals to find his son, http://www.isabelmarantfrboutique.com isabel marant pas cher.See his son, two people embrace together bawler.Although the son was lucky to find, but upon confirmation, father, brother, brother, sister, sister are killed.Zuo Jun said: "because their bodies are never found, now only on the side of the road to give them burn some paper, http://www.moncledoudounesalefr.com doudoune moncler."
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from Chen to Beichuan must turn 6 mountain, 110 kilometers.The left army and the villagers make a hurried journey without stop riding."I was surprised, 110 kilometers of mountain road, it took us 9 hours to go.", http://www.christianlouboutinoutletoushop.com christian louboutin outlet;Shoes go broke, feet grinding have blisters.Along the way, keep coming on the Beichuan county is not the good news, http://www.isabelmarantfrboutique.com isabel marant, he has prepared for the worst, but when flattened mountain primary school, he was driven to distraction, collapsed to the ground.He didn't find his son, began looking for other relatives.
Asian heart network iyaxin.com news (text / graph Asian Heart Network chief reporter Zhao Li) in the affected areas, for the earthquake disaster, many people have been reluctant to mention, but Beichuan County Chen Xiangjiaba rural substation electrical Zuo Jun was active with reporter chats the experience.In February 17th, when the reporter met left army, he and his colleagues for old field village of 4 households with wire.He said, at present, the most worrying is after the disaster became suddenly mature son.
Chen Xiangjiaba substation workers left army son's photo on the desk, often have a look.
Zuo Zichen now the city of Mianyang in the eight one primary school reading tent, http://www.louboutinoutletoustore.com christian louboutin outlet.Because the left army and his wife divorced a few years ago, after the death of his father, his son because of no place to live only in residence.Now, the left army, most worried about is the son.Because of the earthquake, only more than 1000 primary school students only survived for more than 300 people, "my son in their class 47 children survived 4", therefore, left Zichen become don't love talking.Prior to this, Beijing psychological experts to come to Beichuan to do psychological counseling back, left the army took the children to a few times, experts tell left Army: "the child is very good, you don't have to worry about, he is very obedient, http://www.louboutinpascherenligne-fr.com louboutin, behaved like 13 children mature."
which is to let the left army feel afraid.Zuo Jun said: "a child of 8 years should be 8 years old children, early maturation is certainly not normal."
Zuo Jun's son Zuo Zichen in Beichuan County mountain primary school, http://www.3iraqy.com/vb/showthread.php?p=424955#post424955 7 years old male virgins diseases because the fath, and left the army's father live together.Because of the Beichuan after the earthquake has become a lost contact with the outside world island, http://juren163.com/plus/view.php?aid=53496 The car put deflagration risk police blocked Lane, the left army at the end of relief work, and decided to find loved ones along fellow.
Zuo Zichen teacher Zuo Jun said of the incident made him nervous.Zuo Zichen's performance is very good, but in an exam, children in the name column was heavily wrote a bunch of names.The teacher counted a total of 43, ask ability knows, left Zichen write their own class 43 died in the names of students.He said: "my classmates are not in, http://www.christianlouboutinoutletoushop.com louboutin outlet, I for their examination.", http://www.louboutinfrboutiqueenligne.com louboutin;
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Zuo Zichen now loves cry, each week the left army went to see him, he's crying.
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The person who gets into Zhang Jia so boldly is the cripple wolf that didn't appear for a long time, he is also now the blue influence first to want to make track for the target for killing.However cripple the wolf be used as the son-in-law whom general situation dint falls breeze household now, his circumstance has already changed a lot.The cripple wolf is really a talented person who can not get more, http://www.officialnfljerseysproshop.com/indianapolis-colts-andrew-luck-jersey-c-272_276.html Colts Andrew Luck Jersey, he will fall breeze household to take charge of of tidy.Connecting to fall taking charge of of breeze household a person to fall breezeses have to admire thousand times, and destroy wolf recently again at study that from the airtight way in steal of Wu Xue Mi's book, his sword method for a while again progressed a lot.Now for remnants wolf to say the unique is regrettable is his realization not after that Mi book half originally of sword method, because that sword method is very profound, and strange, that still especially writes with the computer procedure that the writing in time immemorial takes into time immemorial of, and is hard to realize.
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Hence the remnants wolf takes a purpose and also at the right moment entered Zhang Jia on this day.
"I have to hurtle into that gun brigade with the quickest speed now or be hold tight a genius, jade heart."Li Lian Tian breathes heavily spirit, the brain turned for a while, he stared blood Bu double eye, skill Ning a sword after annoying to again shoot to go out, then stop bleeding each wound of body toward that gun brigade, another skill slowly from behind carried on the back to move front, trembled that Shan the penknife in You blue, ever since that time his eldest brother after sending this knife to him, http://www.officialnfljerseysproshop.com/baltimore-ravens-ed-reed-jersey-c-36_39.html Ed Reed Ravens Jersey, he fancied it, probably this the knife really be like mouth and up say of so is absolute being soldier, however he thinks he multifarious use this is helping his eldest brother the knife, probably his eldest brother sends him the purpose of this knife not just this.
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